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AFLAFLAC IncorporatedSell5.8·$117.75-0.52%

AFLAC (AFL) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

MISS-0.5% vs estimateEPS $1.75 vs $1.76 estVerdict Buy (Wait)Sell

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$1.75
Estimate
$1.76
Surprise
-0.5%
Score at report (before → after)
6.46.5/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

AFLAC (AFL) missed the $1.76 estimate with diluted EPS of $1.75 — effectively in line (0.5%). TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.4/10) to Sell at 6.5/10 after the report — the engine's score rose despite the miss.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates AFL Sell at 5.8/10.

1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -0.5% surprise compares with a +7.5% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.

What supports the rating

  • Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
  • Attractive valuation

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Geographic: Japan (53.0%)
  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
  • Consecutive earnings misses (3)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$117.75
Price target
$121.69
Stop
$114.03
Upside to target
+3.3%

Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (15.7× forward vs 12.6× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Financial Services context

AFL at TrendMatrix's latest read

For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.

Industry
Insurance - Life
Market cap
$59.34B
P/E (fwd)
15.7
P/E (ttm)
12.6
52-week range
$104.66$130.22
Off 52-week high
9.6%
RSI (14)
42
Volume vs avg
0.14×
Score today
5.8/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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