Grupo Aeromexico (AERO) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.28
- Estimate
- $0.27
- Surprise
- +3.8%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $1.62B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.9 → 6.1/10
Revenue source: yfinance_provisional (provisional — SEC XBRL not yet filed for this period).
How the report landed
Grupo Aeromexico (AERO) beat the $0.27 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.28 — a clear 3.8% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.9/10) to Sell at 6.1/10 after the report.
Coverage in the report window
- Aeromexico to Announce New Nonstop US-Mexico City Routes — fiscal.ai, 2026-10-21
- Grupo Aeromexico Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-10-20
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates AERO Sell at 5.5/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +3.8% surprise compares with a +13.3% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-02-10.
What supports the rating
- Attractive valuation
- Margin of safety: 93%
What argues against it
- Earnings expected to decline ~82% (cyclical peak)
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
- Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $16.87
- Price target
- $22.76
- Stop
- $15.69
- Upside to target
- +34.9%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.3:1
Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (9.4× forward vs 1.6× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-09 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
AERO at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Airlines
- Market cap
- $2.55B
- P/E (fwd)
- 9.4
- P/E (ttm)
- 1.6
- 52-week range
- $12.26–$23.05
- Off 52-week high
- 26.8%
- RSI (14)
- 66
- Volume vs avg
- 0.27×
- Score today
- 5.5/10