Grupo Aeromexico (AERO) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.28
- Estimate
- $0.27
- Surprise
- +3.8%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.9 → 6.1/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Grupo Aeromexico (AERO) beat the $0.27 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.28 — a clear 3.8% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.9/10) to Sell at 6.1/10 after the report.
Coverage in the report window
- Grupo Aeromexico Raises FY2026 Sales Guidance from $6.050B-$6.120B to $6.085B-$6.138B vs $6.188B Est — benzinga, 2026-10-19
- Grupo Aeromexico Sees Q4 Sales $1.639B-$1.668B vs $1.734B Est — benzinga, 2026-10-19
- Grupo Aeromexico Q3 EPS $0.28 Beats $0.27 Estimate, Sales $1.619B Miss $1.633B Estimate — benzinga, 2026-10-19
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates AERO Sell at 6.1/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +3.8% surprise compares with a +13.3% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Attractive valuation
- Margin of safety: 95%
What argues against it
- Earnings expected to decline ~87% (cyclical peak)
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
- Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $15.89
- Price target
- $22.95
- Stop
- $14.78
- Upside to target
- +44.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 4.6:1
Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (8.8× forward vs 1.2× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.
Risk check: trading volume is running 3.0× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-20 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
AERO at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Airlines
- Market cap
- $2.32B
- P/E (fwd)
- 8.8
- P/E (ttm)
- 1.2
- 52-week range
- $12.26–$23.05
- Off 52-week high
- 31.1%
- RSI (14)
- 50
- Volume vs avg
- 3.01×
- Score today
- 6.1/10