ADT (ADT) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.23
- Estimate
- $0.22
- Surprise
- +3.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $1.31B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.9 → 6.2/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
ADT (ADT) beat the $0.22 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.23 — a clear 3.1% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (5.9/10) to Sell at 6.2/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates ADT Buy (Wait) at 5.6/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +3.1% surprise compares with a +6.1% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Thin upside margin: 7.6%
- Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
- Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $6.58
- Entry target
- $6.38
- Price target
- $7.07
- Stop
- $6.06
- Upside to target
- +7.5%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.9:1
The stock trades at 9.1× trailing but 6.7× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
ADT at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Security & Protection Services
- Market cap
- $4.83B
- P/E (fwd)
- 6.7
- P/E (ttm)
- 9.1
- 52-week range
- $6.03–$8.89
- Off 52-week high
- 26.0%
- RSI (14)
- 58
- Volume vs avg
- 0.67×
- Score today
- 5.6/10