Value
8.7/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 8.3 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Attractively valued
AAPG · Why this verdict
Why Ascentage Pharma Group Internat (AAPG) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroCAUTIOUS
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 6.4 |
| FCF quality | 0.0 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 4.4 |
- ▸Cash-burning: FCF -164% of revenue
- ▸Rule of 40: -47 (fail)
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 117% YoY
Momentum
3.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 2.1 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 10.0 |
| vol acceleration | 2.9 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
- ▸Volume surge (2.1x avg) on selloff
Sentiment
8.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 8.8 |
| Analyst rating | 7.9 |
| Price target | 10.0 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.75 (n=2)
- ▸Light analyst coverage (8.0) — signal dampened
- ▸Analyst upside: 170%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 9.3 |
| quality rank | 0.0 |
| growth rank | 8.6 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 10.0 |
| support resistance | 9.4 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 10.0 |
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| beta | 8.7 |
| debt equity | 4.0 |
Catalyst
5.3/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Mixed signals. Hold existing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULTPassed (6)
- ASYMMETRY:10.6>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:77d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.4<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
10.57
Upside
+135.3%
Downside
12.8%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.7B<$5B
Investment implication
The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: ASYMMETRY:10.6>=1.5. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Momentum at 3.4. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Sentiment at 8.8, and Value at 8.7; the weakest are Momentum at 3.4, Quality at 4.2, and Peer rank at 4.5. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 10.57 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.