Skip to main content
AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.Sell6.0·$50.13

Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+18.6% vs estimateEPS $0.17 vs $0.14 estCurrent verdict Sell 6.0/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.17
Estimate
$0.14
Surprise
+18.6%
Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
$269.9M
Score today
6.0/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) beat the $0.14 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.17 — a large 18.6% upside surprise.

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • B. Riley Securities Maintains Neutral on Applied Optoelectronics, Lowers Price Target to $45 — benzinga, 2026-11-06
  • B. Riley Adjusts Applied Optoelectronics Price Target to $45 — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-06
  • Texas Roadhouse To Rally Around 11%? Here Are 10 Top Analyst Forecasts For Friday — benzinga, 2026-11-06
Current read · as of 2026-11-07

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates AAOI Sell at 6.0/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +18.6% surprise compares with a +91.2% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-02-25.

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Customer: Digicomm (53.1%)
  • Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (96.6%)
  • DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $156.00 vs price $50.13 — ratio 3.1×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$50.13
Price target
$104.28
Stop
$46.62
Upside to target
+108.0%

Risk check: RSI 29 — a level conventionally read as oversold; trading volume is running 1.6× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-07 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Technology context

AAOI at TrendMatrix's latest read

Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.

Industry
Communication Equipment
Market cap
$4.26B
P/E (fwd)
10.9
52-week range
$18.50–$233.67
Off 52-week high
78.5%
RSI (14)
29
Volume vs avg
1.58×
Score today
6.0/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

Home › Stocks › AAOI › Earnings › Q3 2026 earnings