Value
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.6 |
| P/S | 8.3 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.2 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.9 |
| PEG | 4.9 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 18.3x
- ▸PEG: 1.58
XYL · Why this verdict
Why Xylem (XYL) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.5/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 2.9 |
| ROA | 3.3 |
| Gross margin | 3.7 |
| Op margin | 5.2 |
| Net margin | 5.4 |
| Current ratio | 5.4 |
| FCF quality | 6.9 |
| Moat | 6.0 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
4.1/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.2 |
| EPS growth | 4.9 |
Momentum
7.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 9.8 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.4 |
| Price target | 8.9 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 35%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Negligible insider selling — $360,339 (0.001% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 6.6 |
| quality rank | 4.1 |
| growth rank | 1.7 |
Technical
3.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.5 |
| support resistance | 2.3 |
| 52w position | 4.6 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.9 |
| days to cover | 7.0 |
| volatility | 6.9 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 7.1 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| beta | 6.8 |
| debt equity | 9.3 |
Catalyst
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 5.6 |
| dividend safety | 6.5 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 154.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (8)
- MOMENTUM:7.7>=5.5
- ASYMMETRY:4.3>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:45d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (1)
- DEATH_CROSS:momentum=7.7>=5.0 recovering
Reward-to-Risk
4.33
Upside
+21.7%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 5.5 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Risk (lower is worse) at 7.8) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Current asymmetry R:R is 4.33 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Risk (lower is worse) at 7.8, Momentum at 7.7, and Sentiment at 7.2; the weakest are Peer rank at 3.1, Technical at 3.3, and Growth at 4.1. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 4.33 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.