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WRBYWarby Parker Inc.Sell4.4·$26.54+0.30%
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Warby Parker Inc. (WRBY) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.54 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.4/10.

Warby Parker sells prescription eyewear, contact lenses, and vision care services through 323 retail stores and digital commerce, with unified pricing starting at $95 including prescription lenses. It employs ~4,000 people and operates two in-house optical labs. Contacts... Read more

$26.54+11.6% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#23 of 26 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.99%
Stop $24.67Target $29.60(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$29.92+12.7%12 analysts
$29.60our TP
$26.54price
$29.92mean
$24
$35

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.54 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.4/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Warby Parker Inc.

About Warby Parker Inc.

Warby Parker operated 323 U.S. retail stores at December 31, 2025, selling eyeglasses, contact lenses (11.1% of 2025 net revenue), and eye exams and vision care (6.4% of 2025 net revenue), with all eyewear regulated by the U.S. FDA as a medical device. The company employed 4,036 people and sold frames starting at $95 in a U.S. eyewear market the Vision Council estimated at $70 billion as of December 2025. Insurance-backed purchases were only 8.3% of 2025 revenue despite insurance covering roughly 60% of industry-wide U.S. vision care purchases.

Warby Parker generates revenue through direct-to-consumer sales of prescription eyewear, contacts, and eye care services across 323 stores and its e-commerce platform. The company designs eyewear in-house at its New York City headquarters and manufactures through a network of more than 30 partners spanning frame factories, lens suppliers, and distribution centers across China, Japan, Vietnam, Italy, and Thailand, with in-house optical labs in Sloatsburg, New York, and Las Vegas, Nevada. The filing flags dependence on a limited number of frame and lens suppliers and reliance on Amazon Web Services for technology infrastructure. Competing against vertically integrated players EssilorLuxottica and VSP (which own frame brands, lens networks, and vision insurance plans) as well as low-priced online rival Zenni Optical, Warby Parker remains underpenetrated in insurance-backed purchases relative to the broader category. Progressive lenses represented 22.3% of prescription units at December 31, 2025, compared with approximately 40% industry-wide, indicating an underpenetrated premium-lens category.

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Warby Parker sources frames and lenses from a network of more than 30 manufacturing partners located most notably in China, Japan, Vietnam, Italy, and Thailand, with the Risk Factors Summary explicitly flagging dependence on a limited number of suppliers and contract manufacturers. A loss of any of these partners could negatively affect the business, per the filing. The company also relies on Amazon Web Services for its entire technology infrastructure; the 10-K states that any disruption of or interference with that service could adversely affect business, financial condition, or operations — a single-platform dependency without a named alternative cloud provider.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

From Warby Parker Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.4/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)2646.0
P/E (Fwd)39.8
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA69.3
Profit Mgn0.2%
ROE0.4%
Rev Growth8.3%
Beta1.97
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.71bearish
IV88%elevated
Max Pain$14-47.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.1
Revenue Growth
4.6

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.8
Quality Rank
3.2
Growth Rank
3.8

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.12Resistance $30.20

Price Targets

$25
$30
A.Upside+11.5%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WRBY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.54 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.4/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $24.67. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WRBY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.60 (+11.6% upside). Prior stop was $24.67. Stop-loss: $24.67.

What are the risks of investing in WRBY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.4/10; Weak growth.

Is WRBY overvalued or undervalued?

Warby Parker Inc. trades at a P/E of 2646.0 (forward 39.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WRBY?

20 analysts cover WRBY with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Warby Parker Inc. do?Warby Parker sells prescription eyewear, contact lenses, and vision care services through 323 retail stores and digital...

Warby Parker sells prescription eyewear, contact lenses, and vision care services through 323 retail stores and digital commerce, with unified pricing starting at $95 including prescription lenses. It employs ~4,000 people and operates two in-house optical labs. Contacts contributed 11.1% and eye exams 6.4% of 2025 net revenue, with glasses comprising the substantial majority.

Related stocks: NVST (Envista Holdings Corporation) · WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · RMD (ResMed Inc.) · LMAT (LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.) · MMED (MiniMed Group, Inc.)
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