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Warby Parker Inc. (WRBY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $22.09, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Warby Parker is a direct-to-consumer eyewear and vision care retailer operating 323 retail stores and a digital commerce platform as of December 31, 2025, selling prescription glasses starting at $95 including lenses, plus contacts, eye exams, and lens services. Revenue comes... Read more

$22.09+14.8% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#22 of 25 Medical Instruments & Supplies
Stop $20.55Target $25.38(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$29.17+32.0%12 analysts
$25.38our TP
$22.09price
$29.17mean
$35

Sell if holding. At $22.09, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Weak overall score: 4.7/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)2147.0
P/E (Fwd)31.4
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA56.6
Profit Mgn0.2%
ROE0.5%
Rev Growth11.2%
Beta2.08
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.77neutral
IV109%elevated
Max Pain$30+33.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierAmazon Web Services
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our business relies on Amazon Web Services, and any disruption of, or interference with, our use of Amazon Web Services could adversely affect our business'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Adrian Mitchell appointed CFO effective Feb 10, 2026, succeeding Dave Gilboa who had assumed the role on an interim basis. Mitchell was previously COO/CFO of Macy's, Inc. Gilboa continues as Co-CEO. Clean handoff.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.4
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.9
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.1
Value Rank
3.8
Growth Rank
5.5
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.80Resistance $26.80

Price Targets

$21
$25
A.Upside+14.9%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WRBY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $22.09, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services; Earnings in 7 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $20.55. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WRBY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.38 (+14.8% upside). Prior stop was $20.55. Stop-loss: $20.55.

What are the risks of investing in WRBY?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services; Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

Is WRBY overvalued or undervalued?

Warby Parker Inc. trades at a P/E of 2147.0 (forward 31.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WRBY?

20 analysts cover WRBY with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Warby Parker Inc. do?Warby Parker is a direct-to-consumer eyewear and vision care retailer operating 323 retail stores and a digital...

Warby Parker is a direct-to-consumer eyewear and vision care retailer operating 323 retail stores and a digital commerce platform as of December 31, 2025, selling prescription glasses starting at $95 including lenses, plus contacts, eye exams, and lens services. Revenue comes from product sales and eye care services across an omnichannel platform with over 4,000 employees and in-house design at its NYC headquarters. The company is a public benefit corporation targeting expansion to 900+ US stores.

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