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WESWestern Midstream Partners, LPSell6.1·$42.96-1.65%
WES · Why this verdict

Why Western Midstream Partners (WES) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score6.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

6.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E8.2
P/S7.3
EV/EBITDA5.5
Fwd P/E9.1
PEG5.0
Analyst target4.0
  • Forward P/E: 11.4x
  • PEG: 1.49

Quality

7.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE10.0
ROA4.9
Gross margin10.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio4.3
FCF quality5.6
Moat7.5
Rule of 407.6
Piotroski F7.8
  • Excellent ROE: 37%
  • Strong margins: 30%
  • Earnings quality warning: 74% FCF/NI
  • Wide economic moat

Growth

5.8/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth8.1
EPS growth3.5
  • Strong growth: 22% YoY

Momentum

3.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD0.0
OBV1.0
MA position4.0
Volume10.0
vol acceleration1.6
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA
  • Volume surge (3.4x avg) on selloff

Sentiment

6.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment7.0
Analyst rating7.1
Price target5.7
  • LLM news sentiment: +0.40 (n=2)

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.8/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank4.0
quality rank8.2
growth rank6.0
  • Superior ROE vs peers

Technical

8.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger8.7
support resistance9.1
52w position7.9

Risk (lower is worse)

6.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest8.4
days to cover5.8
volatility6.6
put call4.5
implied vol7.8
beta9.1
debt equity2.5
news risk6.0
  • Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Catalyst

4.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm6.5
earnings history5.6
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg0.0
dividend safety5.2
news activity6.0
  • Dividend: 866.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (5)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:45d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:3.7<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:-1.8=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
-1.77
Upside
-8.9%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND High quality (7.8) with weak momentum (3.7)

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.6 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Technical at 8.6) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.7<4.5, ASYMMETRY:-1.8=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -1.77 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Technical at 8.6, Quality at 7.8, and Sentiment at 6.7; the weakest are Momentum at 3.7, Catalyst at 4.7, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -1.77 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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