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TUTelus CorporationSell4.1·$11.86-0.17%
TU · Why this verdict

Why Telus (TU) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score4.1/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E4.6
P/S9.7
EV/EBITDA6.2
Fwd P/E7.5
PEG7.6
Analyst target7.5
  • Forward P/E: 16.4x
  • PEG: 0.90
  • Attractively valued

Quality

3.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE1.2
ROA2.2
Gross margin3.0
Op margin5.6
Net margin2.3
Current ratio2.7
FCF quality10.0
Moat3.1
Piotroski F4.4
  • Excellent cash conversion: 255% FCF/NI
  • No competitive moat

Growth

1.1/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth2.3
EPS growth0.0
  • Declining revenue: -1%

Momentum

1.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.5
MACD3.6
OBV1.0
MA position1.0
Volume0.0
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

6.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target9.4
erm sentiment5.0
  • Analyst upside: 46%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%

Peer rank

2.1/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank2.5
quality rank3.5
growth rank2.2

Technical

7.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger8.1
support resistance7.8
52w position5.4

Risk (lower is worse)

4.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
days to cover0.0
volatility7.9
put call0.0
implied vol6.3
max pain risk7.0
beta8.6
debt equity3.2
  • Elevated put/call: 2.25

Catalyst

3.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history0.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg0.0
dividend safety5.2
  • Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
  • Dividend: 1010.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (7)
  • ASYMMETRY:4.8>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:46d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:1.8<4.5
  • DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
4.83
Upside
+24.2%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupFALLING_KNIFE Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 7.3 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:1.8<4.5.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.3, Technical at 7.1, and Sentiment at 6.4; the weakest are Growth at 1.1, Momentum at 1.8, and Peer rank at 2.1. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 4.83 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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