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OPTUOptimum Communications, Inc.Sell4.0·$1.31+6.50%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Optimum Communications is under an active M&A tender offer that overshadows a weak underlying business — four consecutive earnings misses, a confirmed downtrend, and extreme short interest all point to fundamental deterioration masked by deal-completion dynamics.

Thesis pillars

  • Active Ma Tender OfferStable
  • Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend MomentumStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Optimum Communications, Inc. (OPTU) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.31: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 45%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality.

Optimum Communications, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides broadband communications and video services under the Optimum brand in the United States, Canada, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands. It provides broadband, video, telephony, and mobile services to... Read more

$1.31+31.1% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#43 of 45 Telecom Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield19.69%
Stop $1.23Target $1.74(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$1.19-9.2%9 analysts
$1.74our TP
$1.31price
$1.19mean
$1
$2

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.31: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 45%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — Optimum Communications, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-07T17:52:39Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-22.1% upside)
Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.8), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-2.0
Mkt Cap$454M
EV/EBITDA8.1
Profit Mgn-55.0%
ROE
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta1.15
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV317%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMcounterpartyT-Mobile
    10-K Item 1: 'our infrastructure-based mobile virtual network operator ("MVNO") agreement with T-Mobile U.S., Inc. ("T-Mobile")'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
4.7
Support Resistance
4.7

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.3
Growth Rank
0.5
Value Rank
8.3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
6.5
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3M
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $0.81Resistance $1.78

Price Targets

$1
$2
A.Upside+32.8%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.1% upside)
! Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.8), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OPTU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $1.31: Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 45%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $1.23. Score 4.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OPTU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1.74 (+31.1% upside). Prior stop was $1.23. Stop-loss: $1.23.

What are the risks of investing in OPTU?

Target reached (-22.1% upside); Risk below floor (3.0 < 3.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.8), Negative free cash flow.

Is OPTU overvalued or undervalued?

Optimum Communications, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -2.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OPTU?

19 analysts cover OPTU with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $1.

What does Optimum Communications, Inc. do?Optimum Communications, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides broadband communications and video services...

Optimum Communications, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides broadband communications and video services under the Optimum brand in the United States, Canada, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands. It provides broadband, video, telephony, and mobile services to residential and business customers. The company's video services include delivery of broadcast stations and cable networks; over the top services; video-on-demand, high-definition channels, digital video recorder, and pay-per-view services; and video programming services. It also provides voice over Internet protocol telephone services; local, regional, and long-distance calling services; and mobile services, such as data, talk, and text. In addition, the company offers Ethernet, data transport, IP-based virtual private networks, Internet access, and telephony services; hosted telephony services, managed Wi-Fi, managed desktop and server backup, and collaboration services comprising audio and web conferencing; fiber-to-the-tower services to wireless carriers; data services, including wide area networking and dedicated data access, and advanced services comprising wireless mesh networks; and enterprise class telephone services that include traditional multi-line phone service. Further, it provides hosted private branch exchange, technical support, network solutions, security and network access and equipment for SMB customers, and international calling and toll-free numbers services. Additionally, the company offers audience-based and multiscreen advertising solutions; news programming services; and data analytics, as well as operates news channels under the News 12 Networks names. Optimum Communications, Inc. was formerly known as Altice USA, Inc. and change its name to Optimum Communications, Inc. in November 2025. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Long Island City, New York.

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