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MCBSMetroCity Bankshares, Inc.Hold6.6·$36.34+0.83%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

MetroCity Bankshares combines a still-reasonable valuation, best-in-class margins, and a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak with an imminent catalyst, though the stock trading well above its analyst target keeps the near-term risk/reward unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Reasonable Growth Adjusted ValuationStable
  • Peer Leading MarginsStable
  • Earnings CatalystStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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MetroCity Bankshares, Inc. (MCBS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: residential real estate loans (58.3%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-collateralized loans (97.6%).

MetroCity Bankshares is a bank holding company headquartered in the Atlanta metropolitan area, operating 29 full-service branches across multi-ethnic communities in Alabama, California, Florida, Georgia, New York, New Jersey, Texas and Virginia through its Metro City Bank... Read more

$36.34-11.1% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#42 of 224 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.01%(5y avg 2.92%)Payout36.11%sustainable
Stop $34.22Target $41.79(default +15%)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$38.00+4.6%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: residential real estate loans (58.3%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-collateralized loans (97.6%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About MetroCity Bankshares, Inc.

About MetroCity Bankshares, Inc.

MetroCity Bankshares closed its $202.3 million acquisition of First IC Corporation on December 1, 2025, growing total assets to $4.77 billion, loans to $4.08 billion and deposits to $3.65 billion across 29 branches in multi-ethnic communities spanning Alabama, California, Florida, Georgia, New York, New Jersey, Texas and Virginia. Residential real estate loans made up 58.3% of the loan book, with commercial real estate loans at 38.3%.

MetroCity Bankshares earns net interest income primarily by originating non-conforming residential mortgages and owner- and non-owner-occupied commercial real estate loans, a meaningful share of which - $439.8 million in commercial real estate and $42.4 million in commercial-and-industrial balances - carry SBA or USDA guarantees that lower the bank's retained credit risk. Within its $1.56 billion commercial real estate book, hotels represent the largest named exposure at $600.3 million, or 38.5%, followed by wholesale/retail and commercial rental properties. Deposits totaled $3.65 billion, of which 75.2% were classified as core deposits and $747.8 million came from brokered sources tied to the Federal Funds Effective rate. The bank competes against national and regional banks as well as other community banks serving multi-ethnic customer bases, and it retains servicing rights on both SBA loans sold in the secondary market and non-conforming mortgages sold to investors.

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MetroCity Bankshares' funding mix leans on brokered deposits, which totaled $747.8 million as of December 31, 2025 and are entirely tied to the Federal Funds Effective rate, layered atop $2.74 billion of deposits the bank classifies as core (75.2% of the total). Because the 10-K explicitly ties SBA lending profitability to continued federal guarantee support, any reduction in the bank's SBA Preferred Lender status or a cut to SBA guarantee levels could disproportionately affect the SBA-guaranteed share of its combined CRE and C&I SBA book.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From MetroCity Bankshares, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 23, 202671d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: residential real estate loans (58.3%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-collateralized loans (97.6%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.5
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn43.3%
ROE15.9%
Rev Growth33.9%
Beta0.69
Dividend3.01%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV83%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfolioresidential real estate loans58%
    10-K Item 1: 'we had $2.38 billion of residential real estate loans, representing 58.3% of our total loan portfolio held for investment'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans38%
    10-K Item 1: 'Commercial real estate loans made up $1.56 billion, or 38.3%, of our total loan portfolio held for investment at December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate-collateralized loans98%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 97.6% of our loan portfolio was comprised of loans with real estate as a primary or secondary component of collateral'
  • MEDIUMregulatorySBA loan program dependence
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our SBA lending program is dependent upon the U.S. federal government'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.7
Bollinger
1.5
52w Position
9.6
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $32.84Resistance $36.62

Price Targets

$34
$42
A.Upside-11.1%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-23 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MCBS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $36.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: residential real estate loans (58.3%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-collateralized loans (97.6%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $41.79 (+15.0%), stop $34.22 (−6.2%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MCBS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.79 (-11.1% upside). Target $41.79 (+15.0%), stop $34.22 (−6.2%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $34.22.

What are the risks of investing in MCBS?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: residential real estate loans (58.3%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate-collateralized loans (97.6%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is MCBS overvalued or undervalued?

MetroCity Bankshares, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MCBS?

6 analysts cover MCBS with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $38.

What does MetroCity Bankshares, Inc. do?MetroCity Bankshares is a bank holding company headquartered in the Atlanta metropolitan area, operating 29...

MetroCity Bankshares is a bank holding company headquartered in the Atlanta metropolitan area, operating 29 full-service branches across multi-ethnic communities in Alabama, California, Florida, Georgia, New York, New Jersey, Texas and Virginia through its Metro City Bank subsidiary. As of December 31, 2025, following its acquisition of First IC Corporation, the company held $4.77 billion in total assets, $4.08 billion in loans and $3.65 billion in deposits, with residential real estate loans (58.3%) and commercial real estate loans (38.3%, including SBA-guaranteed loans) forming the bulk of i

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