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HOVNPHovnanian Enterprises Inc - DepSell4.9·$19.92-1.39%
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Hovnanian Enterprises Inc - Dep (HOVNP) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Unknown · Unknown

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.92: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

$19.92-0.1% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10Peer score 5.0/10 · 15 Unknown
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield
Stop $19.36Target $19.89(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.92: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Piotroski F
0.0
Moat
5.0
Weak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns
Low model confidence on this dimension (29%).
GatesMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.26Resistance $20.30

Price Targets

$19
$20
A.Upside-0.2%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for HOVNP.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HOVNP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.92: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $19.36. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HOVNP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.89 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $19.36. Stop-loss: $19.36.

What are the risks of investing in HOVNP?

Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is HOVNP overvalued or undervalued?

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc - Dep trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HOVNP?

8 analysts cover HOVNP with a consensus score of 2.1/5.

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