Value
7.1/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/S | 7.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| p ocf | 4.8 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸P/OCF: 23.4x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
- ▸Attractively valued
CSGP · Why this verdict
Why CoStar Group (CSGP) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 0.1 |
| ROA | 0.0 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 0.1 |
| Net margin | 0.4 |
| Current ratio | 7.6 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 7.9 |
| Rule of 40 | 5.5 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 808% FCF/NI
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
8.1/10data confidence 33%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 8.1 |
- ▸Strong growth: 22% YoY
Momentum
1.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -13.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 2.0 |
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 9.7 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: -0.60 (n=1)
- ▸Analyst upside: 60%
Insider
6.5/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 6.5 |
| insider conviction | 8.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Modest insider buying — $2,514,208 (0.020% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.9/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 0.7 |
| quality rank | 2.6 |
| growth rank | 7.3 |
Technical
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.5 |
| support resistance | 8.0 |
| 52w position | 0.0 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.1 |
| days to cover | 9.2 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 8.5 |
| implied vol | 2.8 |
| beta | 8.7 |
| debt equity | 9.4 |
- ▸High IV: 63%
Catalyst
7.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| news activity | 5.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (5)
- ASYMMETRY:4.3>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:27d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:1.1<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
4.28
Upside
+43.8%
Downside
10.2%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish
EdgeCATALYST — Earnings in 27d with 4/4 beat streak
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: ASYMMETRY:4.3>=1.5. Top dim: Growth at 8.1; weakest: Momentum at 1.1. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.1, Value at 7.1, and Catalyst at 7.0; the weakest are Momentum at 1.1, Peer rank at 3.9, and Quality at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 4.28 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.