Crescent Capital BDC screens cheap with notable insider buying support, but declining revenue, downward-trending estimates, and a confirmed technical downtrend argue for a cautious, reduced position despite the early signs of recovery.
Thesis pillars
- Cheap Valuation Low Peg→Stable
- Notable Insider Buying Conviction→Stable
- Confirmed Technical Downtrend↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. (CCAP) Stock Analysis
Inst Constrain edge
Financial Services · Asset Management
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. is a business development company that originates first-lien, unitranche, second-lien, and unsecured debt investments in U.S. middle-market companies with $10 million to $250 million of EBITDA. The company is externally managed by Crescent Cap... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $10.76 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.28. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $12.18 (+13.0% upside). Prior stop was $10.28. Stop-loss: $10.28.
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.7 (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover CCAP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $14.
What does Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. do?Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. is a business development company that originates first-lien, unitranche, second-lien, and...
Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. is a business development company that originates first-lien, unitranche, second-lien, and unsecured debt investments in U.S. middle-market companies with $10 million to $250 million of EBITDA. The company is externally managed by Crescent Cap Advisors, an affiliate of Crescent, a roughly $50 billion credit investment manager, and earns interest income, dividend income, and capital gains from its portfolio while paying the Adviser a 1.25% base management fee plus incentive fees.