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BBWIBath & Body Works, Inc.Sell5.8·$20.72+5.55%
BBWI · Why this verdict

Why Bath & Body Works (BBWI) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

8.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E9.9
P/S10.0
EV/EBITDA8.3
Fwd P/E9.7
PEG8.5
Analyst target6.0
  • Forward P/E: 6.8x
  • PEG: 0.76
  • Attractively valued

Quality

5.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROA9.3
Gross margin4.6
Op margin4.4
Net margin5.0
Current ratio5.1
FCF quality7.0
Moat4.5
Piotroski F6.7
  • No competitive moat

Growth

5.8/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth1.7
EPS growth10.0
  • Declining revenue: -3%

Momentum

5.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI3.6
MACD10.0
OBV6.9
MA position6.0
Volume3.0
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

5.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment3.2
Analyst rating5.0
Price target8.0
  • LLM news sentiment: -0.35 (n=10)
  • Analyst upside: 23%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.4/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank8.3
quality rank7.8
growth rank0.6
  • Attractive P/E vs peers

Technical

2.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger1.4
support resistance2.2
52w position2.7

Risk (lower is worse)

4.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest6.2
days to cover8.5
volatility0.0
put call5.8
implied vol1.9
beta5.5
  • High IV: 69%
  • Concentration risks: 3 MED (10-K Item 1A)

Catalyst

5.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history3.3
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg4.0
dividend safety7.0
news activity8.0
  • Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
  • Dividend: 408.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier -2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=-2
Passed (6)
  • MOMENTUM:5.9>=5.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:65d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:0.5<1.5@spot
Warning (2)
  • DEATH_CROSS:momentum=5.9>=5.0 recovering
  • 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
0.49
Upside
+7.4%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 1.39>1.3, MCap $4.0B<$5B

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:5.9>=5.5. Top dim: Value at 8.6; weakest: Technical at 2.1. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.6, Momentum at 5.9, and Quality at 5.8; the weakest are Technical at 2.1, Risk (lower is worse) at 4.6, and Insider at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.49 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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