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AVTRAvantor, Inc.Sell5.5·$15.59
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Avantor is a steady earnings-beater with strong cash conversion (131% FCF/NI) and a forward P/E of 18.1x, but quality is below average and the price of $16.05 is 6.0% above the $15.09 analyst target. Weak momentum and a negative reward-to-risk leave little room for new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Cash Conversion↑Improving
  • Steady Earnings Beat Record↑Improving
  • Price Above Analyst Target↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 11, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Avantor, Inc. (AVTR) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.59 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-sourced raw materials.

Avantor distributes laboratory supplies and manufactures specialty materials — J.T. Baker high-purity chemicals, NuSil silicone, and Masterflex fluid systems — to 300,000+ customer locations in ~180 countries through Laboratory Solutions and Bioscience Production segments. The... Read more

$15.59-3.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#14 of 29 Medical Instruments & Supplies
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.17%
Stop $14.51Analyst target $15.09(reached)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst consensus$17.35+11.3%13 analysts with price targets
$15.59price
$17.35mean
$19

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.59 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-sourced raw materials. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — Avantor, Inc.

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:49:36Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 10, 202798d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-sourced raw materials
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.2
P/E (Fwd)17.6
Mkt Cap$10.6B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE5.9%
Rev Growth4.6%
Beta0.95
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C53.40bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$8-48.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersole-sourced raw materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'raw materials, many of which are sole-sourced due to market or customer demands'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02HIGH
    CFO R. Brent Jones resigned March 26, 2026 to join a company outside life sciences (90-day notice required). SVP/CAO Steven Eck named interim CFO; executive search for permanent CFO underway. No permanent successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-23Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP Benoit Gourdier notified April 17, 2026 of transition to segment integration role, expected to depart by Dec 31, 2026. Successor Ludovic Brellier named EVP Bioscience and Medtech Products and Chief Transformation Officer, effective May 1, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.4
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 98d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.96Resistance $17.45

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.2%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.2% upside)
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-10 (98d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVTR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $15.59 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-sourced raw materials. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.51. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVTR stock price target?

Analyst target $15.09 reached (−3.2% from $15.59); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $14.51. Stop-loss: $14.51.

What are the risks of investing in AVTR?

Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-sourced raw materials; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

Is AVTR overvalued or undervalued?

Avantor, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.2 (forward 17.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AVTR?

24 analysts rate AVTR, with a consensus score of 3.4/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $17.

What does Avantor, Inc. do?Avantor distributes laboratory supplies and manufactures specialty materials — J.T. Baker high-purity chemicals, NuSil...

Avantor distributes laboratory supplies and manufactures specialty materials — J.T. Baker high-purity chemicals, NuSil silicone, and Masterflex fluid systems — to 300,000+ customer locations in ~180 countries through Laboratory Solutions and Bioscience Production segments. The company generates revenue through distribution and service contracts, with ~80% of 2025 transactions via digital channels and no single customer exceeding 5% of net sales.

Related stocks: STAA (STAAR Surgical Company) · WST (West Pharmaceutical Services, I) · ALGN (Align Technology, Inc.) · ATRC (AtriCure, Inc.) · TFX (Teleflex Incorporated)
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