Value
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 2.7 |
| P/S | 8.3 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.1 |
| Fwd P/E | 5.6 |
| PEG | 8.1 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 23.0x
- ▸PEG: 0.81
AS · Why this verdict
Why Amer Sports (AS) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 2.6 |
| ROA | 3.7 |
| Gross margin | 7.6 |
| Op margin | 6.6 |
| Net margin | 3.2 |
| Current ratio | 6.0 |
| FCF quality | 7.1 |
| Moat | 7.9 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
8.1/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 6.2 |
- ▸Strong growth: 32% YoY
Momentum
3.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 7.8 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 2.3 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
8.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 9.0 |
| Price target | 9.3 |
| erm sentiment | 5.4 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 44%
Insider
3.4/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 3.0 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.3 |
- ▸Notable insider selling — $30,157,379 (0.144% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.8/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 1.5 |
| quality rank | 3.5 |
| growth rank | 9.2 |
- ▸Industry growth leader
Technical
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.6 |
| support resistance | 6.7 |
| 52w position | 6.3 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.9 |
| days to cover | 8.5 |
| volatility | 2.4 |
| put call | 6.3 |
| implied vol | 3.9 |
| beta | 3.2 |
| debt equity | 9.4 |
Catalyst
7.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLDPassed (7)
- ASYMMETRY:3.6>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:56d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.3<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
3.62
Upside
+29.2%
Downside
8.1%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 2.04>1.3
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: ASYMMETRY:3.6>=1.5. Top dim: Growth at 8.1; weakest: Momentum at 3.3. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 8.1, Sentiment at 8.1, and Catalyst at 7.5; the weakest are Momentum at 3.3, Insider at 3.4, and Peer rank at 4.8. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.62 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.