Value
8.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.5 |
| P/S | 9.8 |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.6 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.3 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 9.9x
- ▸PEG: 0.35
- ▸Attractively valued
ALV · Why this verdict
Why Autoliv (ALV) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 9.5 |
| ROA | 5.6 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 3.6 |
| Net margin | 3.2 |
| Current ratio | 4.2 |
| FCF quality | 4.7 |
| Moat | 5.4 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 28%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 61% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
Growth
6.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.2 |
| EPS growth | 7.7 |
Momentum
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 2.2 |
| Volume | 2.9 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
Sentiment
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.4 |
| Price target | 7.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.4 |
Insider
4.8/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $2,548,930 (0.029% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.3 |
| quality rank | 7.1 |
| growth rank | 4.0 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
8.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 9.7 |
| support resistance | 9.3 |
| 52w position | 7.6 |
| gap | 6.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.9 |
| days to cover | 4.8 |
| volatility | 4.8 |
| put call | 1.3 |
| implied vol | 5.0 |
| beta | 5.6 |
| debt equity | 5.9 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 1.80
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 2 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 7.4 |
| dividend safety | 7.0 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 292.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Mixed signals. Hold existing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD_DEFAULTPassed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:24d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (3)
- MOMENTUM:3.6<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.4<1.5@spot
- 8K_SERIOUS:2.05
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.41
Upside
+2.5%
Downside
6.2%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeCATALYST — Earnings in 24d with 4/4 beat streak
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.35>1.3
Investment implication
The default F-path HOLD fired without any positive-conviction gate triggering — no momentum acceleration, no quality+value crossover, no setup recognition. Highest-clear gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Value at 8.3; weakest: Momentum at 3.6. The engine's read is one of pattern absence — no directional conviction in either direction at current asymmetry.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 8.3, Technical at 8.2, and Catalyst at 6.9; the weakest are Momentum at 3.6, Peer rank at 4.6, and Insider at 4.8. The V9 engine flagged 3 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.41 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.