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AACAres Acquisition Corporation IISell4.7·$9.95
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ares Acquisition Corporation II is a shell company with no operating business, a 0/9 Piotroski score and a quality score of 0.9, so there is no fundamental support and the stock is in a downtrend.

Thesis pillars

  • No Operating Quality Base→Stable
  • Capitulation Momentum Downtrend↓Deteriorating
  • Upside Exhausted Asymmetry→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ares Acquisition Corporation II (AAC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Shell Companies

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.95: Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Ares Acquisition Corporation III focuses on effecting a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses. The company was incorporated in 2026 and is based in New York, New York.

$9.95+15.0% Upside to targetScore 4.7/10#22 of 32 Shell Companies
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $9.89Default target $11.44A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.95: Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 14, 2026

Recent Developments — Ares Acquisition Corporation II

Latest news

Latest item Nov 14, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-15T12:02:18Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)—
Mkt Cap$491M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE—
Rev Growth—
Beta—
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
0.0
Moat
4.5
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
5.5
Macd
6.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Llm Sentiment
2.5
Analyst Rating
5.0
LLM news sentiment: -0.50 (n=2)
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $9.89Resistance $10.07

Price Targets

$10
$11
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for AAC.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AAC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.95: Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $9.89. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AAC stock price target?

Default target: $11.44 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $9.89. Stop-loss: $9.89.

What are the risks of investing in AAC?

Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0).

Is AAC overvalued or undervalued?

Ares Acquisition Corporation II trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What does Ares Acquisition Corporation II do?Ares Acquisition Corporation III focuses on effecting a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition, share...

Ares Acquisition Corporation III focuses on effecting a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses. The company was incorporated in 2026 and is based in New York, New York.

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Latest news

Latest News

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