Xcel Energy (XEL) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.93
- Estimate
- $0.79
- Surprise
- +18.4%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $3.12B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.3 → 5.0/10
Revenue source: mixed.
How the report landed
Xcel Energy (XEL) beat the $0.79 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.93 — a large 18.4% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.3/10) to Sell at 5.0/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates XEL Sell at 5.1/10.
1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +18.4% surprise compares with a +3.2% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
What argues against it
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0
- Negative momentum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $70.66
- Price target
- $82.27
- Stop
- $68.44
- Upside to target
- +16.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 3.3:1
The stock trades at 19.7× trailing but 15.9× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-24 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
XEL at TrendMatrix's latest read
Utility earnings are regulatory outcomes on a lag — allowed-return and rate-case posture frame any quarter's print.
- Industry
- Utilities - Regulated Electric
- Market cap
- $45.01B
- P/E (fwd)
- 15.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 19.7
- 52-week range
- $71.63–$84.23
- Off 52-week high
- 16.1%
- RSI (14)
- 31
- Volume vs avg
- 0.76×
- Score today
- 5.1/10