Vital Farms (VITL) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- -$0.15
- Estimate
- -$0.10
- Surprise
- -50.0%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-27)
- $182.2M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 3.7 → 4.4/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Vital Farms (VITL) reported a wider loss than forecast — adjusted EPS of -$0.15 against the -$0.10 estimate (a 50.0% shortfall). TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (3.7/10) to Sell at 4.4/10 after the report — the engine's score rose despite the miss.
Coverage in the report window
- Vital Farms Reports Q3 2026 Loss and Lowers Full-Year Outlook — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-03
- Vital Farms Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-03
- Vital Farms Withdraws Its FY30 Long-Term Targets — benzinga, 2026-11-03
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates VITL Sell at 4.4/10.
0 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -50.0% surprise compares with a -52.9% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Product: shell eggs (93.0%)
- Concentration risk — Supplier: shell egg cartons
- Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $10.02
- Price target
- $10.63
- Stop
- $9.32
- Upside to target
- +6.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.4:1
Risk check: trading volume is running 2.8× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
VITL at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Farm Products
- Market cap
- $430.2M
- P/E (fwd)
- 48.9
- 52-week range
- $7.95–$38.64
- Off 52-week high
- 74.1%
- RSI (14)
- 61
- Volume vs avg
- 2.80×
- Score today
- 4.4/10