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VITLVital Farms, Inc.Sell4.4·$10.02

Vital Farms (VITL) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

MISS · WIDER LOSS-50.0% vs estimateEPS -$0.15 vs -$0.10 estVerdict Hold → Sell

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
-$0.15
Estimate
-$0.10
Surprise
-50.0%
Revenue (period 2026-09-27)
$182.2M
Score at report (before → after)
3.7 → 4.4/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Vital Farms (VITL) reported a wider loss than forecast — adjusted EPS of -$0.15 against the -$0.10 estimate (a 50.0% shortfall). TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (3.7/10) to Sell at 4.4/10 after the report — the engine's score rose despite the miss.

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • Vital Farms Reports Q3 2026 Loss and Lowers Full-Year Outlook — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-03
  • Vital Farms Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-03
  • Vital Farms Withdraws Its FY30 Long-Term Targets — benzinga, 2026-11-03
Current read · as of 2026-11-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates VITL Sell at 4.4/10.

0 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -50.0% surprise compares with a -52.9% four-quarter average.

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Product: shell eggs (93.0%)
  • Concentration risk — Supplier: shell egg cartons
  • Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$10.02
Price target
$10.63
Stop
$9.32
Upside to target
+6.1%
Reward-to-risk
0.4:1

Risk check: trading volume is running 2.8× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Defensive context

VITL at TrendMatrix's latest read

Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.

Industry
Farm Products
Market cap
$430.2M
P/E (fwd)
48.9
52-week range
$7.95–$38.64
Off 52-week high
74.1%
RSI (14)
61
Volume vs avg
2.80×
Score today
4.4/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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