Trex Company (TREX) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.55
- Estimate
- $0.48
- Surprise
- +15.4%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $359.5M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.5 → 5.4/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Trex Company (TREX) beat the $0.48 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.55 — a large 15.4% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Sell (5.5/10) to Hold at 5.4/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates TREX Hold at 5.4/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +15.4% surprise compares with a +102.9% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Earnings estimates trending UP
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: top-3 customers (73.0%)
- Concentration risk — Product: wood/polyethylene composite material
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $57.15
- Stop
- $53.15
At 33.0× trailing and 28.3× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Risk check: RSI 81 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum; trading volume is running 2.8× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-05 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
TREX at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Building Products & Equipment
- Market cap
- $5.94B
- P/E (fwd)
- 28.3
- P/E (ttm)
- 33.0
- 52-week range
- $29.77–$58.70
- Off 52-week high
- 2.6%
- RSI (14)
- 81
- Volume vs avg
- 2.82×
- Score today
- 5.4/10