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PFBCPreferred BankSell5.5·$102.96+1.56%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Preferred Bank has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with best-in-class net margins of 48% and a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, but the stock is near its 52-week high with negligible upside to analyst targets and short interest at 11% reflects meaningful institutional skepticism.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class MarginsStable
  • Earnings Beat Track RecordImproving
  • Valuation Near 52w HighDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Preferred Bank (PFBC) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $102.96 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.

Preferred Bank provides various banking products and services to small and mid-sized businesses, entrepreneurs, real estate developers, professionals, and high net worth individuals. The company accepts checking, savings, and money market deposit accounts; fixed-rate and fixed... Read more

$102.96-7.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#187 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.16%(5y avg 2.96%)Payout35.95%sustainable
Stop $96.38Target $109.19(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$111.50+8.3%4 analysts
$109.19our TP
$102.96price
$111.50mean
$115

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $102.96 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Oct 19, 202685d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 37%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.5
P/E (Fwd)9.4
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn47.5%
ROE17.4%
Rev Growth3.3%
Beta0.54
Dividend3.16%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 85d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $97.97Resistance $111.42

Price Targets

$96
$109
A.Upside-7.9%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.9% upside)
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-19 (85d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PFBC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $102.96 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $96.38. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PFBC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $109.19 (-7.9% upside). Prior stop was $96.38. Stop-loss: $96.38.

What are the risks of investing in PFBC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is PFBC overvalued or undervalued?

Preferred Bank trades at a P/E of 9.5 (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PFBC?

11 analysts cover PFBC with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $112.

What does Preferred Bank do?Preferred Bank provides various banking products and services to small and mid-sized businesses, entrepreneurs, real...

Preferred Bank provides various banking products and services to small and mid-sized businesses, entrepreneurs, real estate developers, professionals, and high net worth individuals. The company accepts checking, savings, and money market deposit accounts; fixed-rate and fixed maturity retail, and non-retail certificates of deposit; and individual retirement accounts. It also provides real estate mortgage loans that are secured by retail, industrial, office, special purpose, and residential single and multi-family properties; real estate construction loans; commercial loans, including lines of credit for working capital, term loans for capital expenditures, and commercial and stand-by letters of credit; and small business administration loans for business purposes, such as owner-occupied commercial real estate, business acquisitions, start-ups, franchise financing, working capital, improvements and renovations, inventory and equipment, and debt-refinancing. In addition, the company offers trade finance services, including commercial and export letters of credit, import lines of credit, documentary collections, international wire transfers, acceptances/trust receipt financing, export financing, and bills purchase programs. Further, it provides cash management services; and internet, mobile, and tablet banking services. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.

Related stocks: BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · PLBC (Plumas Bancorp) · COFS (ChoiceOne Financial Services, I) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation) · AROW (Arrow Financial Corporation)
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