Novavax (NVAX) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- -$0.19
- Estimate
- -$0.35
- Surprise
- +45.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $68.3M
- Score today
- 5.2/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Novavax (NVAX) reported a narrower loss than forecast — adjusted EPS of -$0.19 against the -$0.35 estimate (a 45.1% beat on a still-unprofitable quarter).
Coverage in the report window
- B. Riley Securities Reiterates Buy on Novavax, Lowers Price Target to $16 — benzinga, 2026-11-06
- Novavax Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Operational Highlights — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-05
- Novavax Exec Says Co Is Exploring An Over 50% Reduction To Operating Footprint Via Consolidation Of Buildings And Labora — benzinga, 2026-11-05
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates NVAX Sell at 5.2/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +45.1% surprise compares with a +66.4% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
- Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $10.71
- Price target
- $12.57
- Stop
- $9.96
- Upside to target
- +17.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.2:1
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-06 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
NVAX at TrendMatrix's latest read
Healthcare earnings trade on pipeline and payer dynamics as much as the quarter itself; a beat or miss is weighed against trial and reimbursement news.
- Industry
- Biotechnology
- Market cap
- $1.61B
- P/E (fwd)
- -59.7
- 52-week range
- $6.20–$13.39
- Off 52-week high
- 20.1%
- RSI (14)
- 49
- Volume vs avg
- 0.42×
- Score today
- 5.2/10