NRG Energy (NRG) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $1.49
- Estimate
- $1.74
- Surprise
- -14.4%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $7.32B
- Score today
- 5.6/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
NRG Energy (NRG) missed the $1.74 estimate with diluted EPS of $1.49 — a large 14.4% shortfall.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates NRG Sell at 5.6/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -14.4% surprise compares with a +4.7% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 4.8): -1.5
- Consecutive earnings misses (2)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $111.84
- Price target
- $169.88
- Stop
- $105.09
- Upside to target
- +51.9%
- Reward-to-risk
- 6.6:1
The stock trades at 28.5× trailing but 9.9× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
NRG at TrendMatrix's latest read
Utility earnings are regulatory outcomes on a lag — allowed-return and rate-case posture frame any quarter's print.
- Industry
- Utilities - Independent Power Producers
- Market cap
- $23.35B
- P/E (fwd)
- 9.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 28.5
- 52-week range
- $108.34–$189.96
- Off 52-week high
- 41.1%
- RSI (14)
- 31
- Volume vs avg
- 0.95×
- Score today
- 5.6/10