Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott (NGVC) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $0.48
- Estimate
- $0.52
- Surprise
- -7.7%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $334.7M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.2 → 5.1/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott (NGVC) missed the $0.52 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.48 — a clear 7.7% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.2/10) to Sell at 5.1/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates NGVC Sell at 5.2/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -7.7% surprise compares with a +6.4% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-19.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
- Weak growth
- Negative momentum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $27.62
- Price target
- $37.97
- Stop
- $25.69
- Upside to target
- +37.5%
- Reward-to-risk
- 3.5:1
At 13.3× trailing and 12.0× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Risk check: RSI 25 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-08-23 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
NGVC at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Grocery Stores
- Market cap
- $636.5M
- P/E (fwd)
- 12.0
- P/E (ttm)
- 13.3
- 52-week range
- $23.47–$41.40
- Off 52-week high
- 33.3%
- RSI (14)
- 25
- Volume vs avg
- 1.09×
- Score today
- 5.2/10