Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott (NGVC) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.48
- Estimate
- $0.52
- Surprise
- -7.7%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $334.7M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.2 → 5.1/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott (NGVC) missed the $0.52 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.48 — a clear 7.7% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.2/10) to Sell at 5.1/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates NGVC Sell at 5.4/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -7.7% surprise compares with a +6.4% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-19.
What argues against it
- Risk below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $30.44
- Price target
- $35.91
- Stop
- $28.31
- Upside to target
- +18.0%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.5:1
At 15.1× trailing and 13.3× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-28 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
NGVC at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Grocery Stores
- Market cap
- $713.5M
- P/E (fwd)
- 13.3
- P/E (ttm)
- 15.1
- 52-week range
- $23.47–$40.42
- Off 52-week high
- 24.7%
- RSI (14)
- 53
- Volume vs avg
- 0.66×
- Score today
- 5.4/10