NCDL (NCDL) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.38
- Estimate
- $0.39
- Surprise
- -1.3%
- Score today
- 6.3/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
NCDL (NCDL) missed the $0.39 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.38 — a modest 1.3% shortfall.
Coverage in the report window
- Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. Declares Regular and Supplemental Dividends — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-03
- Nuveen Churchill Direct Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-03
- Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-03
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates NCDL Sell at 6.3/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -1.3% surprise compares with a +1.0% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Target reached (0.1% upside)
- Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
- Reward/Risk 0.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $11.91
- Price target
- $11.92
- Stop
- $11.23
- Upside to target
- +0.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.0:1
The stock trades at 12.0× trailing but 7.6× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 75 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum; trading volume is running 1.5× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
NCDL at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Asset Management
- Market cap
- $588.2M
- P/E (fwd)
- 7.6
- P/E (ttm)
- 12.0
- 52-week range
- $10.31–$15.07
- Off 52-week high
- 21.0%
- RSI (14)
- 75
- Volume vs avg
- 1.54×
- Score today
- 6.3/10