Strategy (MSTR) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- -$24.45
- Estimate
- $3.07
- Surprise
- -895.3%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.7 → 5.6/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Strategy (MSTR) reported a wider loss than forecast — adjusted EPS of -$24.45 against the $3.07 estimate (a 895.3% shortfall). TrendMatrix's engine moved from Data Issue (5.7/10) to Sell at 5.6/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MSTR Sell at 4.9/10.
1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -895.3% surprise compares with a -263.5% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-02-04.
What supports the rating
- Attractive valuation
- Analyst upside: 55%
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Commodity: bitcoin
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
- Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $135.63
- Price target
- $210.84
- Stop
- $126.14
- Upside to target
- +55.5%
- Reward-to-risk
- 3.7:1
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MSTR at TrendMatrix's latest read
Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.
- Industry
- Software - Application
- Market cap
- $55.39B
- P/E (fwd)
- 5.5
- 52-week range
- $81.81–$270.36
- Off 52-week high
- 49.8%
- RSI (14)
- 45
- Volume vs avg
- 0.63×
- Score today
- 4.9/10