Strategy (MSTR) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- -$24.45
- Estimate
- $3.07
- Surprise
- -895.3%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.7 → 5.6/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Strategy (MSTR) reported a wider loss than forecast — diluted EPS of -$24.45 against the $3.07 estimate (a 895.3% shortfall). TrendMatrix's engine moved from Data Issue (5.7/10) to Sell at 5.6/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MSTR Sell at 5.8/10.
0 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -895.3% surprise compares with a -290.6% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Commodity: bitcoin
- Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $143.49
- Price target
- $202.14
- Stop
- $133.26
- Upside to target
- +40.9%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.7:1
Risk check: RSI 72 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MSTR at TrendMatrix's latest read
Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.
- Industry
- Software - Application
- Market cap
- $57.53B
- P/E (fwd)
- 2.9
- 52-week range
- $81.81–$365.21
- Off 52-week high
- 60.7%
- RSI (14)
- 72
- Volume vs avg
- 0.76×
- Score today
- 5.8/10