MP Materials (MP) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- -$0.12
- Estimate
- -$0.07
- Surprise
- -63.2%
- Score today
- 5.2/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
MP Materials (MP) reported a wider loss than forecast — adjusted EPS of -$0.12 against the -$0.07 estimate (a 63.2% shortfall).
Coverage in the report window
- ‘Subpoena Season’: Democrats Set Their Sights on $40B in Mining Deals — benzinga, 2026-11-06
- MP Materials Corp. Reports Q3 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-05
- MP Materials Posts Q3 Double Beat, Reaches Magnetics 'Inflection Point' — benzinga, 2026-11-05
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MP Sell at 5.2/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -63.2% surprise compares with a +107.3% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Geographic: Mountain Pass (sole North American facility)
- Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
- Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $35.13
- Price target
- $63.84
- Stop
- $32.67
- Upside to target
- +81.7%
- Reward-to-risk
- 6.1:1
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-06 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MP at TrendMatrix's latest read
Materials producers report against the commodity cycle — realized-price capture and volume, not the EPS line, are the tells in a quarter like this.
- Industry
- Other Industrial Metals & Mining
- Market cap
- $6.01B
- P/E (fwd)
- 45.5
- 52-week range
- $31.90–$76.80
- Off 52-week high
- 54.3%
- RSI (14)
- 38
- Volume vs avg
- 0.61×
- Score today
- 5.2/10