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LCLendingClub CorporationHold6.1·$19.21+2.13%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

LendingClub presents an attractively valued lender — with a forward price-to-earnings of 8 times and a near-zero growth-adjusted multiple — backed by a consistent earnings delivery record, but a reward-to-risk ratio below the minimum threshold means the position is best maintained rather than expanded at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Valuation DiscountStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Positive Price MomentumStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

LendingClub Corporation (LC) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC; Thin upside margin: 5.3%.

LendingClub operates a nationally chartered digital bank offering personal loans, auto refinance, and point-of-sale financing to U.S. consumers, with more than $100 billion originated and 5 million members since 2006. The company earns net interest income on loans retained at LC... Read more

$19.21+5.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#71 of 225 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield12.88%
Stop $17.87Target $20.23(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$23.25+21.0%10 analysts
$20.23our TP
$19.21price
$23.25mean
$29

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC; Thin upside margin: 5.3%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About LendingClub Corporation

About LendingClub Corporation

LendingClub's platform has originated more than $100 billion of loans since its 2006 founding, serving more than five million members, and LC Bank holds a national bank charter subject to OCC supervision with FRB oversight of the holding company. Revenue splits between two channels: net interest income on loans retained on the balance sheet and origination fees plus servicing fees on loans sold through the company's marketplace to asset managers, other financial institutions, and insurance companies. Effective January 1, 2026, LendingClub elected the fair value option for all newly originated held-for-investment loans, aligning all new originations under a single accounting methodology.

LendingClub earns origination fees at funding, servicing fees over the life of sold loans, and net interest income on retained balances, with deposit funding sourced from consumer savings accounts, checking accounts (including the LevelUp Checking product), and certificates of deposit, as well as third-party marketing channels and brokers. The company competes with traditional banks that carry larger branch networks and with fintech non-banks that face fewer capital requirements. The marketplace investor base includes private credit funds and institutional asset managers; the 10-K notes that a limited number of marketplace investors may purchase a large volume of loans, exposing the company disproportionately to any single investor's withdrawal. Following the FRB's 2022-2023 rate increases, a number of the company's largest marketplace investors ceased or significantly reduced loan purchases, which materially reduced origination volume and marketplace revenue.

Show full overview

LendingClub's national bank charter subjects it to supervision by three distinct regulators: the OCC as primary supervisor of LC Bank, the FRB as supervisor of the holding company, and the CFPB for consumer financial laws given assets exceed $10 billion. In February 2025, the current presidential administration directed the CFPB to suspend rule implementations and cease certain supervision activities. Separately, the 10-K discloses that a proposed 10% interest rate cap on credit cards — if extended to personal loans, depending on implementation — could materially reduce demand for the company's core product, since many customers use personal loans to refinance higher-rate credit card balances.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From LendingClub Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC
Thin upside margin: 5.3%
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.8
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA4.9
Profit Mgn12.8%
ROE12.2%
Rev Growth12.5%
Beta1.97
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV82%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHregulatoryOCC
    10-K Item 1: 'As a national bank, LC Bank is subject to ongoing and comprehensive supervision, regulation, examination and enforcement by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC)'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartymarketplace investors
    10-K Item 1A: 'We may also experience significant concentration on our marketplace bank platform, where a limited number of marketplace investors purchase a large volume of loans from our platform'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-02Item 3.01MEDIUM
    LendingClub notified NYSE of intent to voluntarily transfer listing to Nasdaq under ticker 'HAPN', effective June 22, 2026. Transfer coincides with launch of 'Happen Bank' brand and renaming of the company to Happen, Inc. NYSE listing ends at close June 18, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
3.6
Growth Rank
4.7
Value Rank
7.2
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spot8K FLAG 3.01Momentum 7.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.37Resistance $20.54

Price Targets

$18
$20
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for LC.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.21, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC; Thin upside margin: 5.3%. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $20.23 (+5.3%), stop $17.87 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.23 (+5.3% upside). Target $20.23 (+5.3%), stop $17.87 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $17.87.

What are the risks of investing in LC?

Concentration risk — Regulatory: OCC; Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Elevated risk factors.

Is LC overvalued or undervalued?

LendingClub Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.8 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What does LendingClub Corporation do?LendingClub operates a nationally chartered digital bank offering personal loans, auto refinance, and point-of-sale...

LendingClub operates a nationally chartered digital bank offering personal loans, auto refinance, and point-of-sale financing to U.S. consumers, with more than $100 billion originated and 5 million members since 2006. The company earns net interest income on loans retained at LC Bank and origination and servicing fees on loans sold through its marketplace to institutional investors. LC Bank is supervised by the OCC; the holding company is regulated by the FRB.

Related stocks: NBN (Northeast Bank) · BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · NPB (Northpointe Bancshares, Inc.) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · COFS (ChoiceOne Financial Services, I)
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