HighPeak Energy (HPK) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.32
- Estimate
- $0.07
- Surprise
- +357.1%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $256.8M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.2 → 6.3/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
HighPeak Energy (HPK) beat the $0.07 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.32 — a large 357.1% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (6.2/10) to Sell at 6.3/10 after the report.
Coverage in the report window
- HighPeak Energy, Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Financial and Operating Results and Guidance Update — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-09
- HighPeak Energy Q3 Adj. EPS $0.32 Beats $0.07 Estimate, Sales $256.820M Beat $251.850M Estimate — benzinga, 2026-11-09
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates HPK Sell at 6.3/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +357.1% surprise compares with a +383.1% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Geographic: northeastern Midland Basin
- Concentration risk — Customer: small number of significant purchasers
- Risk below floor (2.2 < 3.0)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $6.72
- Price target
- $8.50
- Stop
- $6.25
- Upside to target
- +26.5%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.8:1
Risk check: RSI 11 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-10 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
HPK at TrendMatrix's latest read
Energy results are commodity-price arithmetic first; the operational beat or miss is read net of what the strip already told the market.
- Industry
- Oil & Gas E&P
- Market cap
- $854.8M
- P/E (fwd)
- 52.0
- 52-week range
- $3.85–$12.03
- Off 52-week high
- 44.1%
- RSI (14)
- 11
- Volume vs avg
- 0.69×
- Score today
- 6.3/10