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FRPTFreshpet, Inc.Buy Wait5.8·$71.29

Freshpet (FRPT) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+49.7% vs estimateEPS $0.55 vs $0.37 estCurrent verdict Buy (Wait) 5.8/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.55
Estimate
$0.37
Surprise
+49.7%
Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
$317.8M
Score today
5.8/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Freshpet (FRPT) beat the $0.37 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.55 — a large 49.7% upside surprise.

Current read · as of 2026-11-05

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates FRPT Buy (Wait) at 5.8/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +49.7% surprise compares with a +50.4% four-quarter average.

What supports the rating

  • Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
  • Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (68.0%)
  • Thin upside margin: 5.0%
  • V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$71.29
Entry target
$67.73
Price target
$74.87
Stop
$62.99
Upside to target
+5.0%
Reward-to-risk
0.3:1

Forward estimates sit below the trailing run-rate (36.6× forward vs 28.3× trailing) — consensus expects earnings to decline from here.

Risk check: trading volume is running 2.2× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-05 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Defensive context

FRPT at TrendMatrix's latest read

Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.

Industry
Packaged Foods
Market cap
$3.43B
P/E (fwd)
36.6
P/E (ttm)
28.3
52-week range
$46.45–$86.00
Off 52-week high
17.1%
RSI (14)
59
Volume vs avg
2.18×
Score today
5.8/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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