Fossil Group (FOSL) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.23
- Estimate
- $0.06
- Surprise
- +283.3%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.0 → 5.0/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Fossil Group (FOSL) beat the $0.06 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.23 — a large 283.3% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Sell (5.0/10) to Hold at 5.0/10 after the report.
Coverage in the report window
- Nasdaq Jumps 400 Points As CoreWeave Shares Jump: Greed Index Remains In ‘Fear’ Zone — benzinga, 2026-11-12
- Why Is Fossil Group Stock Soaring Wednesday? — benzinga, 2026-11-11
- Crude Oil Gains 2%; CoreWeave Posts Upbeat Q3 Results — benzinga, 2026-11-11
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates FOSL Hold at 5.0/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +283.3% surprise compares with a +99.3% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-03-10.
What supports the rating
- Positive news sentiment (+0.73)
- Positive momentum
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Product: watches (82.3%)
- Thin upside margin: 3.4%
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $9.97
- Price target
- $10.31
- Stop
- $9.27
- Upside to target
- +3.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.2:1
Risk check: RSI 85 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum; trading volume is running 6.4× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-12 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
FOSL at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Footwear & Accessories
- Market cap
- $589.6M
- P/E (fwd)
- -124.6
- 52-week range
- $1.70–$10.55
- Off 52-week high
- 5.5%
- RSI (14)
- 85
- Volume vs avg
- 6.38×
- Score today
- 5.0/10