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EDUNew Oriental Education & TechnoHold6.2·$52.54+0.40%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Trading at a forward P/E of 10.9x with a PEG below 1, the stock offers value pricing for its growth profile — three of the past four quarters have beaten consensus estimates with an average positive surprise above 22%, free cash flow has converted at 147% of net income, and analyst consensus implies roughly 35% upside to the current price.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value With Analyst UpsideImproving
  • Momentum Recovery In ProgressDeteriorating
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

New Oriental Education & Techno (EDU) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA (2d, -1.4%).

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Educational Services and Test Preparation Courses; Private Label... Read more

$52.54+25.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#9 of 19 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.92%
IncomeYield2.25%Payout40.00%sustainable
Stop $48.86Target $65.97(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$73.30+39.5%21 analysts
$65.97our TP
$52.54price
$73.30mean
$90

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA (2d, -1.4%). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA (2d, -1.4%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.8
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$8.7B
EV/EBITDA5.4
Profit Mgn8.4%
ROE12.5%
Rev Growth23.0%
Beta0.23
Dividend2.25%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV71%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $47.91Resistance $60.49

Price Targets

$49
$66
A.Upside+25.6%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EDU stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA (2d, -1.4%). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $65.97 (+25.6%), stop $48.86 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EDU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $65.97 (+25.6% upside). Target $65.97 (+25.6%), stop $48.86 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $48.86.

What are the risks of investing in EDU?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA (2d, -1.4%).

Is EDU overvalued or undervalued?

New Oriental Education & Techno trades at a P/E of 17.8 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EDU?

22 analysts cover EDU with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $73.

What does New Oriental Education & Techno do?New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New...

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Educational Services and Test Preparation Courses; Private Label Products and Livestreaming E-Commerce; Overseas Study Consulting Services; and Educational Materials and Distribution. The company offers test preparation courses to students taking language and entrance exams used by educational institutions in the United States, the Commonwealth countries, and the People's Republic of China. It also provides non-academic tutoring courses; intelligent learning systems and devices to offer a digital learning experience for students; and overseas studies consulting services. In addition, the company offers online education services through the Koolearn.com platform. Further, it develops and edits educational materials for language training and test preparation. In addition, the company offers educational programs, services, and products to students through schools; learning centers; and bookstores, as well as through its online learning platforms. New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Related stocks: TAL (TAL Education Group) · LAUR (Laureate Education, Inc.) · PXED (Phoenix Education Partners, Inc) · COUR (Coursera, Inc.) · PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation)
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