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EDUNew Oriental Education & TechnoBuy Wait6.7·$49.24-0.22%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Trading at a forward P/E of 10.9x with a PEG below 1, the stock offers value pricing for its growth profile — three of the past four quarters have beaten consensus estimates with an average positive surprise above 22%, free cash flow has converted at 147% of net income, and analyst consensus implies roughly 35% upside to the current price.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value With Analyst UpsideStable
  • Momentum Recovery In ProgressDeteriorating
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

New Oriental Education & Techno (EDU) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $48.04. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $49.24. Engine's entry $48.04 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 1.7%), Material insider selling (27 sells, 0.46% of cap).

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Educational Services and Test Preparation Courses; Private Label... Read more

$49.24+29.1% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#2 of 18 Education & Training Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.52%
IncomeYield2.43%Payout22.22%sustainable
Entry $48.04(1 ATR pullback)Stop $45.64Target $63.55(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.1:1
Analyst target$70.61+43.4%21 analysts
$63.55our TP
$49.24price
$70.61mean
$86

Wait for pullback to $48.04. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $49.24. Engine's entry $48.04 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 1.7%), Material insider selling (27 sells, 0.46% of cap). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 1.7%), Material insider selling (27 sells, 0.46% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.3
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$8.2B
EV/EBITDA5.2
Profit Mgn7.8%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth19.8%
Beta0.18
Dividend2.43%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.40bullish
IV55%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.7
Bollinger
3.2
52w Position
5.3
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dA.R:R 3.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $44.63Resistance $50.98

Price Targets

$46
$48
$64
A.Upside+29.1%
A.R:R3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EDU stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $48.04. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $49.24. Engine's entry $48.04 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 1.7%), Material insider selling (27 sells, 0.46% of cap). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $63.55 (+29.1%), stop $45.64 (−7.9%), A.R:R 3.1:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EDU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.55 (+29.1% upside). Target $63.55 (+29.1%), stop $45.64 (−7.9%), A.R:R 3.1:1. Stop-loss: $45.64.

What are the risks of investing in EDU?

Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 1.7%), Material insider selling (27 sells, 0.46% of cap).

Is EDU overvalued or undervalued?

New Oriental Education & Techno trades at a P/E of 18.3 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EDU?

22 analysts cover EDU with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $71.

What does New Oriental Education & Techno do?New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New...

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Educational Services and Test Preparation Courses; Private Label Products and Livestreaming E-Commerce; Overseas Study Consulting Services; and Educational Materials and Distribution. The company offers test preparation courses to students taking language and entrance exams used by educational institutions in the United States, the Commonwealth countries, and the People's Republic of China. It also provides non-academic tutoring courses; intelligent learning systems and devices to offer a digital learning experience for students; and overseas studies consulting services. In addition, the company offers online education services through the Koolearn.com platform. Further, it develops and edits educational materials for language training and test preparation. In addition, the company offers educational programs, services, and products to students through schools; learning centers; and bookstores, as well as through its online learning platforms. New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Related stocks: TAL (TAL Education Group) · PXED (Phoenix Education Partners, Inc) · PRDO (Perdoceo Education Corporation) · LAUR (Laureate Education, Inc.) · LOPE (Grand Canyon Education, Inc.)
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