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CRAQCal Redwood Acquisition Corp.Sell4.7·$10.35+0.49%
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Cal Redwood Acquisition Corp. (CRAQ) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Shell Companies

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.35: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Cal Redwood Acquisition Corp. does not have significant operations. The company intends to effect a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses. It also focuses on targeting... Read more

$10.35+15.0% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#14 of 27 Shell Companies
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield
Stop $10.30Target $11.87(default +15%)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.35: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-32.0% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -673.9%), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.6
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$402M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.5
Current Ratio
7.6
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
9.8

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
3.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (20%).
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
85 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.26Resistance $10.32

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+14.7%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-32.0% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -673.9%), Negative free cash flow

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for CRAQ.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CRAQ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.35: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.30. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CRAQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.87 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $10.30. Stop-loss: $10.30.

What are the risks of investing in CRAQ?

Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-32.0% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -673.9%), Negative free cash flow.

Is CRAQ overvalued or undervalued?

Cal Redwood Acquisition Corp. trades at a P/E of 35.6 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does Cal Redwood Acquisition Corp. do?Cal Redwood Acquisition Corp. does not have significant operations. The company intends to effect a merger,...

Cal Redwood Acquisition Corp. does not have significant operations. The company intends to effect a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses. It also focuses on targeting businesses within the TMT industries. Cal Redwood Acquisition Corp. was incorporated in 2025 and is based in Menlo Park, California.

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