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CET11017Hold6.4·$52.20-0.46%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A Rule of 40 score of 102, 48% year-over-year revenue growth, best-in-class margins, and a wide economic moat reflect exceptional business quality that outranks peers on both growth and quality dimensions—but the stock has moved within less than 1% of its near-term resistance target, the reward-to-risk ratio is unfavorable, and volume accumulation is declining, making the current price unattractive for new capital.

Thesis pillars

  • Upside Exhausted At ResistanceStable
  • Exceptional Quality Growth CombinationStable
  • Best In Class Peer PositioningStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

11017 (CET) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Near 52-week high (4.5% away); Negative momentum.

Central Securities Corporation is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm invests in the public equity markets of the United States. It also invests on bonds, convertible bonds, preferred stocks, convertible preferred stocks, warrants, options real estate, or short-term... Read more

$52.200.0% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#27 of 239 Asset Management
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.11%
IncomeYield5.26%(5y avg 6.12%)Payout29.51%sustainable
Stop $51.06Target $52.19(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Near 52-week high (4.5% away); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Outperforming peers
Margin of safety: 62%
Risks
Near 52-week high (4.5% away)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.7
P/E (Fwd)-401.5
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA63.1
Profit Mgn831.7%
ROE15.8%
Rev Growth48.4%
Beta0.74
Dividend5.26%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
3.1
Volume
3.2
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.9
Uptrend pullback (RSI 36) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $51.25Resistance $53.25

Price Targets

$51
$52
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for CET.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CET stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.20, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Near 52-week high (4.5% away); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $52.19 (-0.0%), stop $51.06 (−2.2%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CET stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.19 (0.0% upside). Target $52.19 (-0.0%), stop $51.06 (−2.2%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $51.06.

What are the risks of investing in CET?

Near 52-week high (4.5% away); Negative momentum.

Is CET overvalued or undervalued?

11017 trades at a P/E of 5.7 (forward -401.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

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What does 11017 do?Central Securities Corporation is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm invests in the public equity markets of...

Central Securities Corporation is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm invests in the public equity markets of the United States. It also invests on bonds, convertible bonds, preferred stocks, convertible preferred stocks, warrants, options real estate, or short-term obligations of governments, banks and corporations. Central Securities Corp. was founded on October 1, 1929 and is based in New York City.

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