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BHFAPBrighthouse Financial, Inc. - DHold6.6·$13.65-0.44%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This preferred issue sits at the intersection of deeply questionable issuer fundamentals — negative free cash flow, a 36% revenue decline at the issuer level, and quality scoring well below the minimum floor — and a technical setup that lacks directional conviction; with only 2.1% headroom to near-term resistance and an unfavorable reward-to-risk ratio, the current entry does not meet the bar for asymmetric upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Issuer Quality Below Acceptable FloorImproving
  • Revenue Contraction At Issuer LevelImproving
  • Limited Upside To ResistanceStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Brighthouse Financial, Inc. - D (BHFAP) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Insurance - Life

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Negative momentum.

BHFAP represents Series A Preferred Stock of Brighthouse Financial, Inc., which provides annuity and life insurance to over 2.0 million contract holders in the U.S. across Annuities, Life, Run-off, and Corporate & Other segments. Total AUM was $206,157 million at year-end 2025,... Read more

$13.65+4.5% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#1 of 16 Insurance - Life
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield12.08%(5y avg 7.77%)Payout
Stop $13.40Target $14.28(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Brighthouse Financial, Inc. - D

About Brighthouse Financial, Inc. - D

Brighthouse Financial managed $206,157 million in total assets under management at December 31, 2025, with the Annuities segment comprising $152,745 million and the Life segment $15,821 million. The company serves over 2.0 million annuity contracts and insurance policies in force, operating through Brighthouse Life Insurance Company, Brighthouse Life Insurance Company of NY, and New England Life Insurance Company. Substantially all premiums and policy fees originate in the U.S., delivered through independent distribution networks.

Brighthouse Financial earns revenue through mortality and expense fees, living and death benefit rider fees, investment management fees from Brighthouse Investment Advisers LLC, and spread income on general account assets. Shield Level Annuities generated $8,008 million in deposits in 2025, up from $6,857 million in 2023, with $35,621 million in liabilities outstanding at year-end 2025. The legacy variable annuity block carries $79,321 million in account value, of which approximately 75% includes guaranteed minimum living benefit riders—predominantly guaranteed minimum income benefits ($39,787 million account value) and guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefits ($19,094 million). In the third quarter of 2025, the company completed an initiative establishing standalone hedging programs separating Shield Annuity risk management from the variable annuity program. The Run-off segment holds $26,900 million in AUM tied to universal life secondary guarantee products sensitive to long-duration U.S. interest rate movements.

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On November 6, 2025, Brighthouse Financial entered into a Merger Agreement under which Aquarian Parent plans to acquire BHF as a wholly-owned subsidiary; stockholder approval was obtained on February 12, 2026. Regulatory approvals from insurance regulators in Delaware, New York, and Massachusetts, as well as FINRA Rule 1017 approval for the change in control of Brighthouse Securities LLC, remain outstanding conditions to closing. A termination fee of approximately $144 million would be owed under certain circumstances if the Merger is not completed. In July 2025, S&P revised BHF's long-term issuer credit ratings to BBB from BBB+ and revised certain insurance subsidiary financial strength ratings to A from A+, with additional rating agency actions following the Merger announcement.

See also: Financial Services · Insurance - Life

From Brighthouse Financial, Inc. - D's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Margin of safety: 93%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)1.1
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn12.2%
ROE13.5%
Rev Growth86.7%
Beta0.86
Dividend12.08%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.0
Macd
6.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 17, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
17 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.44Resistance $14.57

Price Targets

$13
$14
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for BHFAP.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BHFAP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.65, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $14.28 (+4.6%), stop $13.40 (−1.9%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BHFAP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.28 (+4.5% upside). Target $14.28 (+4.6%), stop $13.40 (−1.9%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $13.40.

What are the risks of investing in BHFAP?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is BHFAP overvalued or undervalued?

Brighthouse Financial, Inc. - D trades at a P/E of 1.1 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about BHFAP?

15 analysts cover BHFAP with a consensus score of 2.5/5.

What does Brighthouse Financial, Inc. - D do?BHFAP represents Series A Preferred Stock of Brighthouse Financial, Inc., which provides annuity and life insurance to...

BHFAP represents Series A Preferred Stock of Brighthouse Financial, Inc., which provides annuity and life insurance to over 2.0 million contract holders in the U.S. across Annuities, Life, Run-off, and Corporate & Other segments. Total AUM was $206,157 million at year-end 2025, dominated by the Annuities segment at $152,745 million.

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