Skip to main content
AVKAVKHold6.1·$12.33+0.27%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Advent Claymore Convertible Securities screens with a wide margin of safety and strong ROE, but the bear case flags the fund near its 52-week high with weak growth, and a yield-trap warning raises questions about distribution sustainability.

Thesis pillars

  • Margin Of SafetyStable
  • Near 52 Week High Upside ExhaustedDeteriorating
  • Weak Growth ProfileDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AVK (AVK) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Advent Convertible and Income Fund is a closed-ended fixed income mutual fund launched and managed by Advent Capital Management, LLC. The fund primarily invests in the fixed income markets of the United States. It seeks to invest in securities of companies operating across the... Read more

$12.33+3.0% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#53 of 240 Asset Management
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield11.29%(5y avg 11.11%)Payout42.75%sustainable
Stop $12.02Target $12.73(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Outperforming peers
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)3.8
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn342.8%
ROE26.2%
Rev Growth4.0%
Beta1.30
Dividend11.29%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.5
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.3
Macd
3.2
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.6
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 21)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
21 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.26Resistance $12.99

Price Targets

$12
$13
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for AVK.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $12.73 (+3.2%), stop $12.02 (−2.6%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.73 (+3.0% upside). Target $12.73 (+3.2%), stop $12.02 (−2.6%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $12.02.

What are the risks of investing in AVK?

Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is AVK overvalued or undervalued?

AVK trades at a P/E of 3.8 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 10.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

0
What does AVK do?Advent Convertible and Income Fund is a closed-ended fixed income mutual fund launched and managed by Advent Capital...

Advent Convertible and Income Fund is a closed-ended fixed income mutual fund launched and managed by Advent Capital Management, LLC. The fund primarily invests in the fixed income markets of the United States. It seeks to invest in securities of companies operating across the diversified sectors. The fund invests approximately 60% of its portfolio in convertible securities and rest in lower-grade non-convertible income securities. It employs fundamental analysis to create its portfolio. Advent Convertible and Income Fund was formed on April 29, 2003 and is domiciled in the United States.

Home Stocks AVK

Latest news

No recent news