Accel Entertainment (ACEL) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.22
- Estimate
- $0.27
- Surprise
- -17.0%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $363.6M
- Score today
- 6.3/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Accel Entertainment (ACEL) missed the $0.27 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.22 — a large 17.0% shortfall.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates ACEL Sell at 6.3/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -17.0% surprise compares with a +21.0% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
- Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0
- Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.05% of cap)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $11.86
- Price target
- $13.55
- Stop
- $11.22
- Upside to target
- +14.2%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.5:1
The stock trades at 17.7× trailing but 10.4× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
ACEL at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Gambling
- Market cap
- $965.3M
- P/E (fwd)
- 10.4
- P/E (ttm)
- 17.7
- 52-week range
- $9.55–$14.00
- Off 52-week high
- 15.3%
- RSI (14)
- 69
- Volume vs avg
- 0.83×
- Score today
- 6.3/10