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GOOGAlphabet Inc.Buy Wait6.3·$369.80+0.73%
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Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Wait for pullback to $305.65. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $369.80. Engine's entry $305.65 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: online advertising; Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenues (52.0%).

Alphabet organizes its operations under Google Services (Search, YouTube, Gmail, Android, advertising, devices) and Google Cloud (GCP, Workspace), with early-stage Other Bets including Waymo. Online advertising generated more than 70% of total revenues in 2025, with 190,820... Read more

$369.80+9.3% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#7 of 27 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield0.62%
IncomeYield0.24%Payout6.41%sustainable
Entry $305.65(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $283.01Target $385.27(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1Setup A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$409.00+10.6%14 analysts
$385.27our TP
$369.80price
$409.00mean
$195
$475

Wait for pullback to $305.65. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $369.80. Engine's entry $305.65 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: online advertising; Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenues (52.0%). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-4.1% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: online advertising
Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenues (52.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.0
P/E (Fwd)25.4
Mkt Cap$4.48T
EV/EBITDA27.4
Profit Mgn37.9%
ROE38.9%
Rev Growth21.8%
Beta1.24
Dividend0.24%
Rating analysts70

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.55bearish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$500+35.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductonline advertising
    10-K Item 1A: 'We generated more than 70% of total revenues from online advertising in 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicinternational revenues52%
    10-K Item 1A: 'International revenues accounted for approximately 52% of consolidated revenues in 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
3.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Pe
4.6
Forward Pe
4.9
Peg Ratio
5.2
Forward P/E: 25.4xPEG: 1.45
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $343.63Resistance $393.13

Price Targets

$283
$306
$385
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R-0.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GOOG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $305.65. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $369.80. Engine's entry $305.65 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: online advertising; Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenues (52.0%). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-4.1% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $385.27 (+4.2%), stop $283.01 (−30.7%), Setup A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GOOG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $385.27 (+9.3% upside). Target $385.27 (+4.2%), stop $283.01 (−30.7%), Setup A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $283.01.

What are the risks of investing in GOOG?

Concentration risk — Product: online advertising; Concentration risk — Geographic: international revenues (52.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is GOOG overvalued or undervalued?

Alphabet Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.0 (forward 25.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about GOOG?

70 analysts cover GOOG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $409.

What does Alphabet Inc. do?Alphabet organizes its operations under Google Services (Search, YouTube, Gmail, Android, advertising, devices) and...

Alphabet organizes its operations under Google Services (Search, YouTube, Gmail, Android, advertising, devices) and Google Cloud (GCP, Workspace), with early-stage Other Bets including Waymo. Online advertising generated more than 70% of total revenues in 2025, with 190,820 employees and international revenues at approximately 52% of consolidated total. Alphabet invested more than $200 billion in R&D over the last five years, centering recent efforts on its Gemini AI models and custom TPU infrastructure.

Related stocks: META (Meta Platforms, Inc.) · GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.)
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